Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000096 0.000100 0.000106 0.000112 0.000118 0.000125
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000091 0.000099 0.000107 0.000117 0.000128 0.000141
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000086 0.000095 0.000106 0.000118 0.000133 0.000152
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000085 0.000095 0.000108 0.000124 0.000143 0.000169
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000081 0.000092 0.000107 0.000125 0.000147 0.000179
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000078 0.000090 0.000105 0.000125 0.000151 0.000189
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000076 0.000089 0.000105 0.000128 0.000157 0.000202
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000076 0.000089 0.000107 0.000132 0.000166 0.000221
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000073 0.000086 0.000105 0.000131 0.000168 0.000228
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000070 0.000083 0.000102 0.000128 0.000166 0.000229
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000099 0.000126 0.000165 0.000233
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000077 0.000095 0.000121 0.000160 0.000228
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096 0.000125 0.000169 0.000249
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000098 0.000129 0.000178 0.000273
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000061 0.000075 0.000096 0.000129 0.000181 0.000285
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000076 0.000098 0.000134 0.000193 0.000317
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000097 0.000134 0.000196 0.000331
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000096 0.000133 0.000198 0.000345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000096 0.000135 0.000205 0.000371
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000097 0.000139 0.000217 0.000410
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000096 0.000138 0.000217 0.000421
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000093 0.000134 0.000212 0.000417
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000067 0.000091 0.000132 0.000210 0.000420